Energetic-Grey-Jicama
0xb111dc93989d55973814d08ee796ee22cdb5bb49
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$13.43
Total PnL
$-21.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 12, 2026?
147 shares @ 0.7¢·now 6.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.95
$7.95
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 35.8¢·now 35.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.28
$-1.72
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$1.01Jul 5, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 5, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$1.89Jul 4, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 12, 2026?$1.04Jul 4, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$1.01Jul 4, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$1.03Jul 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.00Jun 21, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.02Jun 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?$1.03Jun 21, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$2.00Jun 21, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1.49Jun 20, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$1.72Jun 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1.01Jun 20, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$1.01Jun 20, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$1.12Jun 20, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$1.64Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$1.00Jun 19, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$1.03Jun 19, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$1.02Jun 19, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$1.01Jun 19, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.