Gripping-Riot
0xb1198968d144997367fe23c14f3730348075680b
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$957.14
Total PnL
$-666.52
Realised
$114.55
Win rate
100%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
42 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.78
$3.13
- YES
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
50 shares @ 71.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$28.75
$-7.14
- NO
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?
41 shares @ 67.7¢·now 65.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$26.50
$-1.10
- YES
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
47 shares @ 70.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.79
$-10.26
- YES
Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 45.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.66
$2.37
- NO
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
22 shares @ 60.7¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$15.85
$2.66
- NO
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
39 shares @ 61.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$15.01
$-9.09
- YES
Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by July 31?
20 shares @ 73.5¢·now 70.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.18
$-0.52
- NO
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?
31 shares @ 44.9¢·now 45.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$13.94
$0.11
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
33 shares @ 42.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?$4.09Jul 22, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?$4.43Jul 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$4.75Jul 22, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$4.58Jul 22, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$0.33Jul 22, 00:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.71Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$5.93Jul 22, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$2.10Jul 22, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$7.11Jul 22, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.45Jul 22, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTread FDV above $40M one day after launch$3.15Jul 22, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTheo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.18Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTheo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.04Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.07Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?$4.93Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$5.92Jul 22, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$8.83Jul 21, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$4.57Jul 21, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?$5.40Jul 21, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
82/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
70 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.