Nutritious-Legal
0xb120a5ec9e51b5fa168eb15e331a1585d4ca2a55
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$170.25
Total PnL
$-8.77
Realised
$1.95
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
44 shares @ 36.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.02
$27.97
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.54
$4.75
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
12 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$12.46
$0.69
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 84.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$8.97
$1.37
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
9 shares @ 77.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.31
$1.35
- NO
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.21
$0.66
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
8 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.67
$0.67
- NO
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
5 shares @ 72.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.21
$1.42
- TRUMP ANNOUNCE FED
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?
5 shares @ 84.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$0.81
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 80.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.83
$0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.13Jul 1, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.18Jun 30, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jun 30, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jun 30, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.21Jun 30, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.06Jun 30, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.20Jun 20, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.09Jun 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?$1.09Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.11Apr 28, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.11Apr 28, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.33Apr 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.10Apr 8, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$0.06Apr 7, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.24Apr 7, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.08Apr 1, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.67Apr 1, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.18Mar 23, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1.18Mar 23, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1.18Mar 23, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 01:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.