0xb146adbda69fae13388b7cfddfb611b37b7bc098
0xb146adbda69fae13388b7cfddfb611b37b7bc098
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
183
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-157.94
Realised
$471.93
Win rate
92%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 183- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
127 shares @ 78.5¢·now 76.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$97.64
$-2.35
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
103 shares @ 68.8¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.61
$9.53
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
121 shares @ 68.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$71.00
$-12.23
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
255 shares @ 27.7¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$59.19
$-11.22
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
69 shares @ 85.9¢·now 85.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$58.85
$-0.36
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
68 shares @ 80.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$56.44
$1.37
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 68.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.88
$-7.13
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
91 shares @ 63.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$49.84
$-7.25
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
146 shares @ 40.0¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.74
$-9.72
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
102 shares @ 50.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.48
$-3.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$7.67Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$4.89Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13?$11.78Jun 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.87Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$7.50Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$18.18Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$15.53Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.12Jun 13, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13?$11.36Jun 13, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?$30.91Jun 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?$13.32Jun 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$10.23Jun 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$25.41Jun 13, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$5.00Jun 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUK Recession in 2026?$0.29Jun 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$1.76Jun 13, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUK Recession in 2026?$5.08Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUK Recession in 2026?$4.28Jun 13, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$0.00Jun 13, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.19Jun 13, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.