Scary-Handlebar
0xb1615ea2a36c1edd4a3b67ce9fd7e8aa6d9c9132
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$71.68
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
500 shares @ 90.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$500.00
$49.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$200.00
$88.00
- YES
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
173 shares @ 78.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$172.67
$37.44
- YES
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
115 shares @ 86.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$115.10
$15.10
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
195 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.9¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$101.30
$1.85
- NO
Chirayu Rana fired?
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$98.99
$1.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$65.50
$34.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1100 shares @ 5.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.30
$-25.49
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$18.70
$7.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$40.0039m ago
- TRADESELLCagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong$5.873h ago
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana fired?$12.243h ago
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana fired?$80.954h ago
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana fired?$4.804h ago
- TRADESELLCagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong$15.574h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$114.004h ago
- TRADEBUYCagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong$5.605h ago
- TRADEBUYCagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong$4.465h ago
- TRADEBUYCagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong$0.455h ago
- TRADEBUYCagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong$0.055h ago
- TRADEBUYCagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong$4.345h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?$20.125h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?$7.945h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?$100.396h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$1.7813h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$1.2313h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$0.9914h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$2.3814h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$1.5416h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $22.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 39m ago
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".