Grateful-Transplantation
0xb17116d701c3539d3a88a3956b0225c8d82aa647
Quality score
91/100
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$69.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
280 shares @ 71.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$278.35
$78.35
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 33.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$123.79
$73.79
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$121.71
$71.71
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$104.55
$4.55
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.19
$2.19
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.75
$18.75
- NO
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
105 shares @ 47.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$57.30
$7.30
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
292 shares @ 17.1¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.62
$2.62
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.50
$1.50
- YES
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
439 shares @ 11.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.68
$-8.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$100.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$100.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by May 31?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$100.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$50.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$100.0017d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $62.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 17d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.