Grateful-Transplantation
0xb17116d701c3539d3a88a3956b0225c8d82aa647
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$717.21
Total PnL
$-282.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
280 shares @ 71.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$279.60
$79.61
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$138.53
$38.53
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$131.58
$81.58
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$68.18
$-31.82
- YES
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
439 shares @ 11.4¢·now 5.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.69
$-26.31
- YES
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
393 shares @ 12.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.81
$-28.19
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.25
$-28.75
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
165 shares @ 30.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.73
$-39.27
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
292 shares @ 17.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.62
$-41.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 8, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$50.00Apr 8, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 8, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by May 31?$50.00Apr 8, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$100.00Apr 8, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 8, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $62.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.