Healthy-Parchment
0xb19d553acc7596e7f60aec9b0992245082c654d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$34.75
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$-0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 16?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Legzdina win Supernova 2026?
29 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$5.00May 16, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 16?$5.00May 16, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$5.05May 16, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?$5.04May 16, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 14, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 14?$5.06May 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.00May 14, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 14?$5.06May 14, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 14, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 14?$5.06May 14, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 14, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on May 13?$5.04May 14, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 14, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 13?$5.05May 14, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 14?$5.00May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 14?$5.00May 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on May 13?$5.05May 13, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$5.04May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 14?$5.00May 13, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 13?$5.05May 13, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".