Upset-Fire
0xb1c782ef5061a7d32d2e78688f4512333e4c0144
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$10.42
Total PnL
$-49.37
Realised
$0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.52
$0.02
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.44
$-1.06
- YES
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.25
$0.75
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.52
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.20
$-0.20
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.03
$-0.22
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?
265 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-04?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.69Mar 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.20Mar 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $0.05Mar 13, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $0.55Mar 13, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $0.91Mar 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.50Mar 10, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLKristi Noem out by March 31?$9.50Mar 5, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Crazy Bernie” by February 28?$0.20Feb 28, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Pocahontas” by February 28?$0.20Feb 27, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$0.05Feb 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.25Feb 22, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$2.08Feb 21, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.50Feb 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.40Feb 18, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.23Feb 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.05Feb 15, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".