0xb1e8b11c783186b844b430f2591edd414ea5b7b3
0xb1e8b11c783186b844b430f2591edd414ea5b7b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.90
Total PnL
$-5.47
Realised
$-5.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.90
$2.30
- NO
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?
4 shares @ 59.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
1 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$5.43Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$180.31Jun 18, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$188.88Jun 18, 16:46 UTC
- REWARD$3.99Jun 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$64.84Jun 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$64.97Jun 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?$38.70Jun 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?$43.20Jun 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.07Jun 17, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.34Jun 17, 05:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.80Jun 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$4.61Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$44.47Jun 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$49.47Jun 16, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$2.26Jun 16, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$14.63Jun 16, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$1.53Jun 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$1.53Jun 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$1.50Jun 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$20.40Jun 16, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $27.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.