Clear-Cut-Gravel
0xb242190d0b440b508aed93a963dbbd603890eb89
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
42%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
1899 shares @ 78.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.5K
$-21.69
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
898 shares @ 78.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$713.58
$8.64
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
950 shares @ 46.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$375.33
$-68.92
- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
374 shares @ 67.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$357.19
$105.89
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
369 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$264.06
$12.93
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
373 shares @ 76.1¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$257.39
$-26.61
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
884 shares @ 42.9¢·now 26.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$235.62
$-143.62
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2222 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.87
$-33.33
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
185 shares @ 63.7¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$165.54
$47.39
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5871 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$149.12
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$43.27Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$102.74Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$184.81Jun 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$1.1KJun 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$48.94Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$3.60Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$48.61Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.20Jun 13, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.73Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15.20Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$35.00Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$6.72Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$82.94Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$126.41Jun 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.12Jun 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.74Jun 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$23.48Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$71.30Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.39Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$120.41Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $93.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.