Tidy-Peony
0xb263f4f9d2a60a756a0c9b991433f79a08cfeee1
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$7.90
Total PnL
$-12.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
2 shares @ 46.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Heaven" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.00Jan 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$1.00Jan 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 23, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Jan 23, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 23, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?$1.33Jan 23, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$1.43Jan 23, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.02Jan 23, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?$2.22Jan 23, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$1.00Dec 19, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 19, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?$1.00Dec 19, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?$1.00Nov 5, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Oct 16, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Heaven" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?$1.00Sep 8, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Aug 21, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$10.00Aug 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Aug 1, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.