Chubby-Nudge
0xb280151ad423087f94ea8d3e265a4ce7286e2ab4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$553.00
Total PnL
$-92.88
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 23?
430 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$430.21
$0.22
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
67 shares @ 89.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.76
$1.76
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
65 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.02
$1.02
- PENGUINS
Kraken vs. Penguins
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- LIONS
Packers vs. Lions
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- CALIFORNIA
California vs. Stanford
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- RICHMOND SPIDERS
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladins
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- CHIEFS
Chiefs vs. Cowboys
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- MEMPHIS
Navy vs. Memphis
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 23?$430.03May 22, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?$420.42May 22, 08:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $426.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".