Ugly-Forest
0xb295c68e9c67ccfe5e4a79c7c42075a198ecaed2
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$89.52
Total PnL
$-225.58
Realised
$-8.18
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 71.7¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.97
$-6.14
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.34
$2.34
- NO
Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$4.09
$1.09
- NO
Will Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$3.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$3.48
$-0.52
- NO
Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" at The Villages on May 1?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.70
$0.70
- NO
Will Trump say "Cookie" or "Potato" at The Villages on May 1?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.67
$0.67
- NO
Will Trump say "Mars" at The Villages on May 1?
4 shares @ 84.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.61
$-0.39
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
4 shares @ 68.3¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.59
$-0.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$1.0112m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$1.0412m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Deduction" at The Villages on May 1?$2.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" at The Villages on May 1?$1.024h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?$2.015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?$1.025h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?$2.035h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at The Villages on May 1?$2.055h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?$1.025h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?$1.035h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1?$2.045h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?$2.045h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?$1.035h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?$1.376h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?$2.006h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?$2.046h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?$2.416h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?$2.756h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Paper Clip" in April?$6.716h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" at The Villages on May 1?$2.0312h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 12m ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".