Specific-Uncertainty
0xb2a15da408793c961f817ddbb9df9004c068305f
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$0.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$10.00May 11, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00May 5, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $10.00May 5, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$9.91Apr 30, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $7.38Apr 30, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$9.86Apr 29, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 29, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$6.40Apr 26, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: April$9.77Apr 26, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Baltimore Ravens, Detroit Lions, and Kansas City Chiefs all win on Thanksgiving?$0.00Apr 26, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$9.98Apr 26, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$9.73Apr 26, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$9.00Apr 26, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.10Apr 26, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.38Apr 26, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$5.00Apr 26, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $5.00Apr 26, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$5.00Apr 26, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$10.00Apr 26, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Apr 26, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 15:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.