Crazy-Tambourine
0xb2a966faab90100fc6b96ed399566c8e105225d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$844.78
Total PnL
$-304.33
Realised
$-42.16
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
596 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$539.18
$44.68
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
179 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$162.93
$12.93
- NO
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$94.44
$-5.56
- NO
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
68 shares @ 44.2¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.59
$-15.41
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 67.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.77
$-1.23
- SINNER
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
84 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
75 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.51
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 27?
55 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
48 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score$20.18Jun 14, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$13.89Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.40Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 13, 13:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$26.86Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.00Jun 12, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$105.38Jun 12, 03:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00Jun 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$5.10Jun 11, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$9.26Jun 11, 03:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$105.82Jun 9, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$100.68Jun 9, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$5.07Jun 9, 05:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $40.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.