Bewitched-Makeup
0xb2c5788e296a76cdbacd7ab737390939021b6593
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$386.42
Total PnL
$-95.78
Realised
$22.40
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1254 shares @ 14.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.18
$-58.70
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
193 shares @ 47.6¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$65.57
$-26.33
- NO
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?
75 shares @ 7.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.00
$18.75
- YES
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$23.55
$21.55
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
92 shares @ 23.8¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.37
$-0.47
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
900 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.75
$-2.48
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
105 shares @ 16.6¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.13
$-2.33
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.38
$2.38
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 20.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$10.42
$9.42
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
133 shares @ 2.9¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.87
$2.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals: Game 1 Winner to be Champion?$0.21Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals: Game 1 Winner to be Champion?$3.79Jun 14, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?$1.02Jun 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$20.00Jun 13, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$10.00Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 12, 2026?$0.40Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 12, 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.31Jun 13, 06:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLJung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?$2.20Jun 12, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLJung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?$3.40Jun 12, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.55Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.81Jun 12, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$0.10Jun 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.14Jun 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$0.36Jun 12, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?$0.90Jun 12, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 13:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.