Sweet-Writer
0xb2ca88cd9c431a0f1223029088beb0cf4f035fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$105.20
Realised
$849.90
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
821 shares @ 86.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$809.72
$101.19
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
670 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$655.94
$53.34
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
560 shares @ 74.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$543.48
$128.28
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
500 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$488.50
$7.50
- NO
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
466 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$443.15
$-0.93
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 85.8¢·now 94.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$378.37
$35.20
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
275 shares @ 68.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$260.04
$70.53
- YES
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
1496 shares @ 27.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$216.92
$-198.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1200 shares @ 59.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.00
$-546.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
150 shares @ 93.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$148.57
$8.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$52.00Jun 23, 15:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.19Jun 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$85.05Jun 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$0.32Jun 22, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$0.32Jun 22, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$0.32Jun 22, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$0.69Jun 22, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$0.32Jun 22, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$0.32Jun 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$1.20Jun 22, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$0.32Jun 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$7.15Jun 22, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$88.00Jun 22, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$54.01Jun 22, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$60.54Jun 22, 03:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.29Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$78.42Jun 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.06Jun 21, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.08Jun 21, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.06Jun 21, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $50.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.