Fat-Supervisor
0xb2e2f77526454a4994398c4d7d5b7cd21af5fd1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$93.11
Total PnL
$-2.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
16 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$13.44
$-0.56
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 18?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.04
$0.06
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
11 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.00
$-0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
10 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$9.85
$0.14
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?
11 shares @ 90.7¢·now 89.3¢·exp May 25, 2026$9.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will GAM Esports qualify for EWC 2026?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.22
$-1.36
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.97
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$4.91May 18, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 18?$10.00May 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$9.73May 18, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET$5.05May 18, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET$5.00May 18, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00May 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.12May 18, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET$5.00May 18, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.15May 18, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.01May 18, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$10.04May 18, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$10.04May 18, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?$14.07May 18, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GAM Esports qualify for EWC 2026?$6.60May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$10.02May 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$10.03May 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5$5.04May 18, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".