Rusty-Sugar
0xb2ea03e8a18117204b20bd995b429e841fafaea2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.73
Total PnL
$-0.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 29°F or below on April 2?$61.06Apr 2, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 29°F or below on April 2?$61.00Apr 1, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on March 26?$63.13Mar 25, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on March 26?$63.00Mar 24, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 23?$69.07Mar 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 23?$69.00Mar 22, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 21?$50.05Mar 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 21?$50.00Mar 20, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 19?$78.08Mar 19, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 19?$78.00Mar 18, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$87.36Mar 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$85.34Mar 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$2.01Mar 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?$121.47Mar 18, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?$129.80Mar 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?$2.01Mar 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?$132.65Mar 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?$122.42Mar 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?$10.23Mar 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$123.89Mar 17, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $84.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.