Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?
Probability
70¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5993.3h
- 06:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5993h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 70¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 69¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 71¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 6644 (119th) — Housing for the 21st Century Act. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).