Complicated-Receipt
0xb31c21cd0505ef539b44afd11b3cd6a3041adc78
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$89.29
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$77.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Nikita Krylov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.3¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.40
$8.35
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 37.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.52
$-2.48
- YES
Will Dan Hooker fight Charles Oliveira next?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$5.30
$-4.70
- YES
Will Ante Delija be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 25.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$-4.83
- YES
Will O'Neil Cruz win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$4.63
$-5.37
- YES
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 22.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.56
$-5.44
- YES
Will Rizvan Kuniev be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.3¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.40
$3.35
- YES
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.30
$3.25
- YES
Will Tyrell Fortune be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.30
$3.25
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 17.4¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$3.49
$-6.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mateusz Gamrot fight Charles Oliveira next?$0.20Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergei Pavlovich be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.20Jun 6, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jailton Almeida be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.20Jun 6, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$20.00Jun 5, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$1.20Jun 3, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?$3.60Jun 3, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races?$4.84Jun 3, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races?$3.96Jun 3, 19:57 UTC
- SPLITWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$20.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- SPLITWill the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?$20.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- SPLITWill the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races?$20.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- SPLITWill the Democratic Party win 11 upper-level local government races?$20.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- SPLITWill the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?$20.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- CONVERSIONHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?$20.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- SPLITWill the Democratic Party win 16 or more upper-level local government races?$20.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- SPLITWill the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?$20.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?$1.56Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?$0.20Jun 3, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?$6.00Jun 3, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$9.15Jun 3, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.