Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-29.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5233.6h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -28.7pp at 3d ago (to 1¢).
Show 6 hourly moves
- 3d ago · -27.2pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -27.3pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -23.2pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -24.9pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -26.8pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -28.7pp → 1¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22TypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.