Suburban-Supreme
0xb34adf92ca6cda134ab47d745d49710965a46e39
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$432.33
Total PnL
$-632.82
Realised
$5.53
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
38 shares @ 91.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.54
$1.54
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34 shares @ 73.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.62
$4.62
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.65
$1.95
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.44
$2.44
- NO
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.48
$0.48
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
21 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$20.35
$0.35
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.31
$0.89
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.96
$0.69
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
20 shares @ 93.6¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.86
$0.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.00Jun 22, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$8.00Jun 20, 05:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$2.04Jun 19, 23:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$20.61Jun 18, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$20.49Jun 14, 23:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.