Worse-Cruelty
0xb34b8c547021b42367fe15e38ec47732135a5d0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-438.41
Realised
$89.86
Win rate
60%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
722 shares @ 51.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$472.74
$100.10
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
380 shares @ 44.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.01
$20.86
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
1636 shares @ 12.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.78
$-29.94
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
859 shares @ 16.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$81.64
$-57.01
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
331 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$81.17
$15.01
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1521 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$68.42
$-98.88
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
69 shares @ 93.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.18
$2.28
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
220 shares @ 16.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$34.06
$-2.74
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
47 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.68
$1.38
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$3.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$0.07Jun 30, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$6.17Jun 30, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$3.88Jun 30, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$1.26Jun 30, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$31.57Jun 30, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.32Jun 30, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$8.26Jun 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5.45Jun 30, 05:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$12.19Jun 29, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$25.67Jun 29, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$16.04Jun 29, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$15.90Jun 29, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$10.55Jun 29, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$5.44Jun 29, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$6.26Jun 29, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$5.40Jun 28, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.66Jun 28, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$10.58Jun 28, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 16:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.