Boiling-Musicbox
0xb3607046f295f43f790e9e5e85d812907f9cd73e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10310 shares @ 67.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.1K
$140.56
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
2120 shares @ 76.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$328.55
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1325 shares @ 7.5¢·now 9.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$126.58
$26.58
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
18 shares @ 30.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.75
$1.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.16
$-3.84
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.23
$0.27
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.61
$0.19
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.06
$-0.94
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.9KMay 14, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.1KMay 14, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.05May 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.0KMay 14, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.00May 13, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?$18.05May 13, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$5.26Apr 2, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$5.26Apr 2, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.96Mar 7, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$3.96Mar 2, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.42Mar 2, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$1.19Feb 27, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.23Feb 27, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$126.85Jan 27, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$10.00Jan 25, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Jan 25, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$137.85Jan 25, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?$16.67Jan 22, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $373.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".