Clean-Dance
0xb3ad1759436ceef21cea6b6899e1341f8bd83435
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$22.34
Total PnL
$0.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Taiki Maeda win the Orderly trading competition?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.27
$0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Feb 10, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 4, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$1.00Jan 26, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$1.00Jan 19, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Dec 29, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Dec 23, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiki Maeda win the Orderly trading competition?$1.00Dec 5, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Nov 25, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$1.00Nov 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.00Nov 10, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?$1.00Nov 4, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Oct 27, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.00Oct 21, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 14, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$1.45Oct 7, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Brugge win on 2025-08-12?$1.61Oct 7, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 7, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$1.00Sep 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?$1.00Sep 9, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 05:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.