Near-Mailer
0xb3b246186854f3c063cc71342e6c691cd5128942
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$24.08
Total PnL
$-16.57
Realised
$91.06
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.35
$1.35
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
57 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.25
$-0.77
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.85
$-0.45
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.75
$0.19
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
150 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 16?
50 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.95
$0.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 16?$0.58May 14, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 14, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$2.08May 14, 05:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 11?$1.16May 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?$3.26May 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 11?$1.05May 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?$3.09May 10, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 10?$2.69May 10, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 10?$2.70May 10, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 10?$0.55May 10, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 11?$0.18May 10, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 11?$0.05May 10, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?$0.61May 10, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 11?$0.19May 10, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 11?$0.15May 10, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".