Thorny-Carpeting
0xb3b2766c9a10a72368ebee459d6d5c5c0bf5da22
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$114.47
Total PnL
$59.24
Realised
$85.58
Win rate
63%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
16 shares @ 68.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$11.46
$0.32
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
16 shares @ 50.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.08
$0.00
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
8 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
8 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$6.48
$-0.08
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
8 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.20
$0.12
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
8 shares @ 74.7¢·now 76.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$6.12
$0.14
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.32
$-0.12
- NO
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.29
$0.08
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 29.5¢·now 28.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.51
$-0.22
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.32
$-0.84
Recent activity
- MERGETamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$8.00May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.62May 16, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$2.64May 16, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.89May 16, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.19May 16, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$3.80May 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$3.84May 16, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$2.07May 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$0.16May 16, 21:51 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$7.07May 16, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$6.08May 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$4.56May 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.00May 16, 21:42 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$8.00May 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$5.04May 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$4.25May 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.68May 16, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$0.05May 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$2.40May 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$3.04May 16, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".