Genuine-Fate
0xb3e4a98a69fd63db1a4320977f58dd51e526fb45
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$802.35
Total PnL
$65.74
Realised
$-43.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
579 shares @ 49.8¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$362.02
$73.72
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$198.10
$44.10
- NO
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 12-15%?
100 shares @ 85.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$100.00
$14.30
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
60 shares @ 94.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$59.39
$2.37
- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
40 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$39.94
$0.22
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$24.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
50 shares @ 40.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$-12.62
- YES
Spotify Monthly Active Users above 750M in Q1?
12 shares @ 95.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$6.60
$-4.80
- YES
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
30 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.05
$-2.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 12-15%?$85.708d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$43.079d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$13.9610d ago
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$28.3810d ago
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$120.4210d ago
- TRADEBUYSpotify Monthly Active Users above 750M in Q1?$11.4010d ago
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$35.0210d ago
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$9.2010d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$32.6910d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.8010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.8010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$6.3210d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$6.3210d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$6.3210d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$6.3210d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$6.3210d ago
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$148.8010d ago
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$180.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.8810d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$18.7911d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $31.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12d ago
- Last active
- 8d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.