Expensive-Arrest
0xb4077d7ecb09e5478305fb0c71bc176a5eda252c
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1167 shares @ 72.8¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$834.32
$-15.67
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1426 shares @ 52.6¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$577.50
$-172.50
- NO
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
303 shares @ 66.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$228.79
$28.79
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
755 shares @ 66.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.35
$-405.65
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
536 shares @ 37.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$83.14
$-116.86
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
626 shares @ 31.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.22
$-146.78
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
750 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
385 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
189 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-96.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$164.6416d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.0016d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.0016d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.0016d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$568.9616d ago
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$511.3228d ago
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$728.8529d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$50.0032d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$22.5032d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$20.0032d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$163.8032d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$50.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$50.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$50.0032d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$383.9532d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$300.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$40.0032d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$531.9332d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$500.0032d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.0032d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $216.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 35d ago
- Last active
- 16d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
