Profitable-Function
0xb40790906a7d3a1e7a3f2fd5b71f01f17322a978
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.56
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-120.22
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 61.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$20.68
$6.89
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
2 shares @ 23.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$0.42
- NO
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
1932 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
121 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-62.20
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
84 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.48
- YES
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025?
16 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
4 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?
4 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$127.60Jun 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$229.10Apr 7, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$10.08Apr 7, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$7.20Apr 7, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$43.20Apr 7, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$0.33Apr 7, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?$26.00Apr 7, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$88.00Apr 7, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$175.00Apr 7, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.1KMar 30, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Beef" during National Agriculture Day events?$27.52Mar 26, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Beef" during National Agriculture Day events?$418.56Mar 26, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?$94.86Mar 26, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?$17.68Mar 26, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$165.37Mar 25, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?$178.50Mar 25, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?$69.02Mar 25, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$56.42Mar 25, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$51.61Mar 25, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$1.20Mar 25, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $157.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.