Large-Detention
0xb40987c2a64bdfc57c11b689f20432d0335efe41
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$93.30
Total PnL
$-16.09
Realised
$4.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
30 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$30.00
$1.80
- NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
26 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.46
$0.00
- NO
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
22 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$22.00
$0.13
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 21.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.80
$8.30
- CHARLES OLIVEIRA
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$5.00
$3.15
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-1.16
- YES
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
50 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
20 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$5.04Feb 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.85Feb 27, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$21.87Feb 27, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.26Feb 27, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.13Feb 27, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.26Feb 27, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.28Feb 27, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.64Feb 27, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.42Feb 27, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.44Feb 27, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.40Feb 27, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.79Jan 12, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.21Jan 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.71Jan 12, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?$5.00Jan 12, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$15.00Jan 12, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$30.00Jan 12, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$40.00Jan 12, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$7.50Dec 15, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.