Runny-Anticipation
0xb4522cba4d5442ff4debb501c2555f5fe63857e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$112.24
Total PnL
$-9.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6657 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$63.24
$-3.33
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$38.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.99
$0.01
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
569 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$3.51May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.25May 15, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.32May 15, 17:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$6.97May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?$22.50May 14, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?$24.50May 14, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?$4.40May 14, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?$4.70May 14, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?$1.1KMay 14, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?$298.50May 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?$149.40May 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?$4.98May 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?$199.20May 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?$441.45May 14, 20:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $163.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".