Granular-Epoxy
0xb4849341371e906e7549deff18aaee2dedac18eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$272.74
Total PnL
$-196.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
233 shares @ 85.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$134.21
$-65.79
- NO
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
330 shares @ 65.2¢·now 39.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$128.57
$-86.43
- YES
Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
17 shares @ 57.3¢·now 51.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$8.98
$-1.02
- YES
Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
135 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-43.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$5.11May 14, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$101.74May 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$5.04May 6, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$201.14May 6, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$1.02May 3, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?$116.14May 3, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$24.11Apr 10, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$19.56Mar 25, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $59.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".