Outrageous-Carrot
0xb4a17dc7671a849eb9db44a144b225fee2e78f8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$14.5K
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-4.3K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
89800 shares @ 9.1¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.9K
$783.24
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
7797 shares @ 48.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.5K
$-339.11
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
1705 shares @ 58.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$946.23
$-53.77
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1068 shares @ 65.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$443.36
$-256.64
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
388 shares @ 25.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$388.49
$288.49
- GIANTX
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$175.44
$75.44
- MOVISTAR KOI
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
133 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$133.33
$33.33
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DN SOOPERS
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
1778 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-288.18
- SK GAMING
LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
823 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-68.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.22May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.24May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.23May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.23May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.23May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.21May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.0KMay 12, 16:57 UTC
- YIELD$1.19May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.19May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.16May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.19May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.20May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.21May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.22May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.23May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.80May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.88May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.78May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.04May 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.00Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $183.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".