Required-Wrecker
0xb4ba5ca84e9b4818566792ac3a7c4d0cb6a04ced
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$5.7K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-136.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
900 shares @ 52.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$517.50
$40.89
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
567 shares @ 61.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$439.35
$91.35
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
377 shares @ 53.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$271.70
$71.70
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
260 shares @ 76.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$259.00
$59.00
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
400 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$250.00
$-10.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
331 shares @ 72.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$239.69
$-0.31
- NO
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?
243 shares @ 82.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$231.85
$31.85
- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
230 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$227.01
$27.01
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
243 shares @ 82.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$220.25
$20.25
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?
221 shares @ 83.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$216.73
$31.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?$5.96Jul 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 22, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?$54.04Jul 22, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$336.99Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$140.00Jul 18, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$100.00Jul 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$19.89Jul 13, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$69.81Jul 13, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$0.00Jul 13, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$23.74Jul 13, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$3.94Jul 10, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$15.00Jul 10, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$40.31Jul 10, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$15.75Jul 10, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$124.00Jul 10, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$124.00Jul 10, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$146.08Jul 10, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$200.00Jul 10, 14:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.07Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $73.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 13:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.