Sorrowful-Convenience
0xb4ef9f98f0765b9bd9ee0ce48f3249ef50f0ade6
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$4.38
Total PnL
$-52.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.38
$-0.63
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's remarks in Rome, GA not air?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-22?
43 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Constitution" in Rome, GA on February 19?
18 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
6 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$22.52Apr 12, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$15.00Apr 7, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.65Apr 5, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.91Apr 4, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$10.00Apr 4, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?$3.77Apr 2, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?$5.63Apr 2, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$3.00Apr 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?$2.00Apr 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Mar 29, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$16.23Mar 27, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.00Mar 27, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 25, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 25, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$1.47Mar 24, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 23, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$1.00Mar 21, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 22:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".