0xb50deddd218ee332ad45933dbcd3351a8916a49b
0xb50deddd218ee332ad45933dbcd3351a8916a49b
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.59
Total PnL
$-114.54
Realised
$49.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
21000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- NO
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?
6565 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.56
- YES
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.00Jun 8, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$4.20May 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.05May 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.04May 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?$1.03May 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 12, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$5.25May 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.99May 12, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$11.38May 12, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.49May 7, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.00May 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.03May 7, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$1.04May 7, 12:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?$1.03May 4, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.07May 4, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$10.40May 4, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$10.40May 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 4, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.