Brown-Tragedy
0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$64.8K
Total PnL
$-24.2K
Realised
$-29.8K
Win rate
33%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
42217 shares @ 35.2¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.3K
$14.5K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
40945 shares @ 10.5¢·now 25.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.5K
$6.2K
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
3576 shares @ 76.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$317.23
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
4562 shares @ 39.2¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.7K
$924.59
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
4628 shares @ 39.3¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.5K
$702.51
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2929 shares @ 21.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$848.42
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
6249 shares @ 22.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$86.64
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2069 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.2K
$-10.34
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
5692 shares @ 57.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?
1038 shares @ 89.7¢·now 88.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$921.97
$-9.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$154.07Jun 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$94.20Jun 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.48Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$29.50Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$55.99Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$27.14Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.50Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.29Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14.75Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.17Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.56Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.46Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14.29Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.88Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$56.12Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$115.90Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $34.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.