Brown-Tragedy
0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9
Quality score
76/100
Open positions
112
Open notional
$79.3K
Total PnL
$-13.2K
Realised
$-7.3K
Win rate
41%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
20921 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.7K
$1.6K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
12293 shares @ 63.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.8K
$2.0K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10312 shares @ 56.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.1K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9492 shares @ 68.1¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.3K
$-153.96
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
6107 shares @ 61.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$-1.10
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
4019 shares @ 82.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.4K
$75.68
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
3789 shares @ 79.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.2K
$164.13
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
8498 shares @ 48.9¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.9K
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2093 shares @ 82.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.0K
$312.55
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1948 shares @ 76.3¢·now 94.3¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.8K
$351.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$1.5628m ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$45.7532m ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$98.9356m ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$111.0756m ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$109.811h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$61.481h ago
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$168.001h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?$0.002h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$0.002h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?$0.002h ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$0.002h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?$0.002h ago
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$0.002h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$0.002h ago
- YIELD$0.049h ago
- REWARD$2.0510h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$59.9010h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$34.5010h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$7.5010h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$20.0011h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $145.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16h ago
- Last active
- 28m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.