Loving-Liability
0xb56dd25d1b8799fcb6acb490ecd8a97443cdd3b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.46
Total PnL
$-56.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?
14 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 16, 2026$8.46
$-0.07
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
47 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-32.92
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- GERMANY
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMEngland vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$7.69Jul 1, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$5.05Jul 1, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$4.03Jun 29, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-27?$13.70Jun 27, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-27?$10.08Jun 27, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.61Jun 27, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$16.67Jun 27, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$10.12Jun 26, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jun 25, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.30Jun 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 25, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score$15.38Jun 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score$10.10Jun 22, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$5.88Jun 21, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$2.04Jun 21, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$78.65Jun 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.60Jun 20, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$70.23Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$70.00Jun 18, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$35.40Jun 17, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $21.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 02:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.