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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 16, 2026

Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?

Probability

42¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-4.5pp

24h Vol

$20.00

Liquidity

$810.70

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 5pp over 24h

    Now 42¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5631h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 16.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5631.4h

    LOW
  • 12:35Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5631h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Brazil Série A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Brazil Série A per the rules of Brazil Série A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Brazil Série A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 16, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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