0xb58d46511732564b71f8b8d02dd709a48eee3b86
0xb58d46511732564b71f8b8d02dd709a48eee3b86
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$75.15
Total PnL
$-46.00
Realised
$1.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
16 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$16.00
$5.44
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
16 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$16.00
$5.44
- YES
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
15 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$15.00
$0.75
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
15 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$4.50
- NO
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.07
$0.52
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.03
$-10.27
- YES
Will Trump say "Woke" or "Politically Correct" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
74 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.35
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Raptors
30 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.56Apr 4, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$10.50Apr 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$10.56Apr 4, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.30Apr 4, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$14.25Apr 4, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.88Apr 4, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$5.35Apr 4, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$10.00Apr 4, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$0.00Apr 4, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$40.00Apr 4, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.72Jan 9, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$9.67Jan 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$4.10Jan 4, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$22.50Jan 4, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$8.40Jan 4, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$7.50Jan 4, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?$8.35Jan 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$9.30Jan 4, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Raptors$1.50Jan 4, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$6.20Jan 4, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".