Elliptical-Singular
0xb5a127793082414f94631fa504813d5fe21ec09d
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$78.57
Total PnL
$-13.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
141 shares @ 17.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.65
$0.24
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
26 shares @ 32.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.31
$14.15
- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
19 shares @ 51.1¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.43
$-1.26
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
77 shares @ 13.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.04
$-1.96
- YES
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
120 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.94
$-1.43
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$1.50
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$-2.44
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$-0.97
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
500 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by April 30?
61 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?$10.3517h ago
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$9.6917h ago
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$8.6817h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?$1.044d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?$1.154d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 25?$1.024d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 24?$0.005d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?$0.005d ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$10.005d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?$2.266d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 24?$1.027d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 24?$1.037d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 24?$2.847d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 24?$1.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 24?$1.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 24?$1.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 24?$1.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$1.007d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 17h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".