Faithful-Slapstick
0xb62c0c5901ac5df7d7422596624e7175177fff07
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$5.57
Total PnL
$-341.19
Realised
$15.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
762 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.67
$-4.33
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
282 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
229 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?
115 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Nigeria win on 2025-10-14?
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.52Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.76Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$5.18Jul 14, 20:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$2.05Jul 11, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$9.51Jul 11, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.86Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$6.11Jul 11, 19:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.10Jul 8, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $8.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.