Thirsty-Landform
0xb631d1d6d538ecdd45fcd1fe61f8f27d865e8a87
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$197.80
Total PnL
$-4.05
Realised
$5.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$99.46
$-0.54
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
101 shares @ 83.0¢·now 86.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$87.90
$3.90
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.31
$1.31
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
19 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$6.02May 30, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$84.57May 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.48May 30, 02:06 UTC
- REWARD$2.10May 30, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 29, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?$100.56May 29, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$26.76May 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$8.64May 29, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$5.14May 29, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9.61May 29, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.07May 29, 01:50 UTC
- REWARD$1.52May 29, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$126.46May 28, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$66.96May 28, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.07May 28, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$10.62May 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.22May 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$11.89May 28, 06:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $37.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".