0xb6c6b75e3b28332534408185daab0efa63e32b9e
0xb6c6b75e3b28332534408185daab0efa63e32b9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$20.70
Total PnL
$-31.92
Realised
$11.31
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$10.65
$5.64
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
2 shares @ 93.4¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- UNDER
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
1 shares @ 94.1¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.00
- NO
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$-0.01
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$-0.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.97
$-0.28
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
59 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
56 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-15.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$1.25Jun 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.29Jun 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$1.30Jun 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.33Jun 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?$1.25Jun 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$2.01Jun 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$2.02Jun 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$2.02Jun 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5$1.01Jun 15, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$1.01Jun 15, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 15, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$6.59Jun 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$10.00Jun 13, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$6.13Jun 13, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$8.23Jun 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.50Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$22.00Jun 11, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?$1.65Jun 10, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.20Jun 10, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$8.85Jun 10, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $11.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.