Real-Shock
0xb72305ccb54d7231dd714aba382b493334f97ae0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$45.61
Total PnL
$-37.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1875 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.44
$8.44
- YES
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
83 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.75
$-1.25
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.55
$-3.45
- YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
167 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-13.25
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-04-12?
42 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- YES
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
32 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- BEŞIKTAŞ JK
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
14 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?$15.49Jun 1, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?$31.82May 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?$7.16May 23, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.49May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.01May 17, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?$3.08May 2, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)$5.00Apr 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kocaelispor win on 2026-04-12?$3.00Apr 12, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-10?$13.41Apr 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-10?$10.00Apr 10, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 8, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)$0.00Apr 8, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)$5.00Apr 5, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)$10.00Apr 5, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.00Apr 2, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2.00Apr 2, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.00Apr 2, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?$5.00Apr 2, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?$8.72Apr 2, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $11.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 02:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".