Only-Bulldozer
0xb7342625a2369545ac07ddf6e5fd6a5e0bd37739
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-99.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?
658 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$627.40
$1.65
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1150 shares @ 51.8¢·now 51.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$596.85
$1.15
- NO
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
463 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$419.01
$-16.20
- HORNETS
Pistons vs. Hornets
210 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-86.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$92.20Jul 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$145.04Jul 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$190.11Jul 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$168.35Jul 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran recognize Israel by December 31?$625.76Jul 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$435.22Jul 21, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$335.92Jul 2, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$336.26Jun 28, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$96.40Jun 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$96.40Jun 28, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$468.98May 24, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$480.07May 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$439.89Apr 25, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$438.96Apr 16, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$590.48Apr 1, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$571.99Apr 1, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$605.21Apr 1, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$498.30Apr 1, 11:47 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Mar 31, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$112.80Mar 30, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $256.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.