Substantial-Patrol
0xb748d85b6207a73bb4b6a868ce4a013d9e5f1bdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$16.18
Total PnL
$-11.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.02
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?
2 shares @ 90.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by June 30, 2026?$2.01Jun 9, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$2.03Jun 9, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$2.00Jun 9, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 4, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?$2.04Jun 2, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMGTA VI released before June 2026?$2.06Jun 2, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$2.00Jun 2, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?$2.02May 28, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.09May 28, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$2.11May 28, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$3.10May 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?$2.00May 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00May 22, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00May 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$2.00May 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00May 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00May 14, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?$0.00May 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?$2.00May 12, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?$1.03May 12, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 11:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.