Plump-Encirclement
0xb76d2470c0427becb9fbb8161d70e9e05f20636b
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$39.97
Total PnL
$-382.56
Realised
$-42.24
Win rate
75%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
15 shares @ 80.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.82
$0.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 13?
16 shares @ 29.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$5.17
$0.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 13?
16 shares @ 17.7¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$4.64
$1.86
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
60 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$4.37
$0.15
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
28 shares @ 7.5¢·now 14.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.96
$1.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 13?
17 shares @ 26.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$2.10
$-2.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 13?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.80
$0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 13?
16 shares @ 23.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.51
$-2.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?
16 shares @ 9.1¢·now 7.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.12
$-0.31
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.98
$-0.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0023m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 14?$0.1925m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 1°C on May 15?$4.764h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 13?$0.805h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 13?$0.546h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 14?$1.196h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 14?$1.857h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 13?$0.078h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 14?$1.198h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 14?$1.158h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 13?$1.158h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 13?$0.638h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 12?$2.088h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on May 13?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 13?$0.059h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 13?$0.509h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 13?$0.039h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 13?$0.389h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 13?$0.129h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 13?$0.1110h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16h ago
- Last active
- 23m ago
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
